Mortgage Interest Rates on the Rise Again
Monday, September 20th, 2010After dipping to an almost three-decade low, mortgage interest rates are rising again, with rates for 30-year fixed mortgages pegged at 4.35% as of September 9. This represents the first weekly increase in rates since the middle of June. The figure is up from the previous week's average rate of 4.32%
Despite record declines in previous weeks, loan rates were not able to contribute much to the improvement of the country's housing market. And now that rates are climbing back up, most analysts have become even less confident of any significant recovery in the housing market. However, they stated that a rise in mortgage rates will also not cause a drastic crash in the property market.
Market analysts have stated that more than the rates of mortgages and bargain home financing, it will be the issue of unemployment that will decide whether the housing market will rebound or continue to sink. They explained that the residential property market is not being hurt by rates of mortgages, but by the lack of homebuyers and lack of confidence in the industry which are largely due to the high number of people who are unemployed and the continuous downturn in the national economy.
More than anything else, market observers believe that people's fear of losing their jobs is the greatest factor behind housing market performance. This is evident in the fact that even when mortgage interest rates are at their lowest, homebuyers and investors still stayed away from the market.
Rates have continuously declined since spring, mainly because investors are putting money into Treasury bonds, causing Treasury yields to decline and consequently leading to lower rates. Even during the period when the lowest rates were recorded, sales of homes were declining. The National Association of Realtors has reported that sales for July of previously occupied dwellings dipped by 27%, producing the worst month of performance for the category in 15 years.
Housing market analysts have stated that even if home prices continue to decline and mortgage interest rates return to record lows, the housing market will not be able to recover until buyers decide to pluck properties out of the market. And this will only happen if unemployment rates are cut into manageable levels.
